Certificate in U.S. National Security Risk Analysis

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 No courses are currently scheduled for this topic but if you would like to set up a private course for your organization, please contact the MORS Staff at morsoffice@mors.org with any questions.

 

Certificate in U.S. National Security Risk Analysis
0900 to 1800 EST 
4 Day Course
On-line (Zoom)

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Overview:

The MORS Certificate in U.S. National Security Risk Analysis is a four-day course designed for all levels of analysts seeking to understand the basic concept of risk as it relates to national security. Probability, uncertainty, consequences, fear, and human control all come into play when it comes to risk. The course will start by exploring typically fuzzy problems and move them towards quantitative risk evaluation. Throughout the course, participants will survey several quantitative risk methodologies, including fault trees, value-based decisions, the Lagrange-multiplier method, and modern data visualization.

Students will learn quantitative risk evaluation, build probability models, compute the value of information, and survey best practices for communicating risk. The course will start by exploring typically fuzzy problems and moving them towards quantitative risk evaluation. Participants will survey several quantitative risk methodologies, including fault trees, value-based decisions, Lagrange-multiplier method, and modern data visualization.

Objectives:

Our expert instructors will introduce participants to a variety of key tools and methods used in risk analysis as it pertains to national security. Participants will learn quantitative risk evaluation, build probability models, compute the value of information, and survey best practices for communicating risk. By the end of the course, participants will be able to:

  • Conceptualize national security risk problems
  • Structure adversarial risk problems with shifting evidence
  • Survey quantitative risk methodologies
  • Use Monte Carlo Simulation for risk analysis
  • Communicate risk to executives, analysts, and the public

Requirements: Computer with Excel and administrative privileges to download SIPMath (a simulation tool) and Netica (Bayesian network / Influence diagram)

Agenda

  Program
Day 1 Definitions, Pillars of Modern Risk
Day 2 Using Monte Carlo Simulation for Risk Analysis
Day 3 Risk Management and Risk Communication
Day 4 Bayesian Analysis and Predictive Modeling

Instructors

Dr. Kenneth Crowther
Dr. Kenneth Crowther

Product Security Leader, Xylem Inc.

Dr. Crowther is the Product Security Leader for Xylem Americas Commercial Teams and Applied Water Systems. He was formerly Product Security Leader for General Electric (GE) Global Research and a product security risk analyst for the GE product security engineering team. He has taught applied quantitative risk analysis at the University of Virginia for over 15 years, and has published dozens of peer-reviewed manuscripts. Read More 

Dr. Cameron MacKenzie
Dr. Cameron MacKenzie

Associate Professor, Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Iowa State University

Dr. Cameron MacKenzie is an associate professor in the Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering Department at Iowa State University. He publishes frequently on risk analysis topics, to include decision making in advance of hurricanes, allocating resources to prepare and respond to disruptions, and supply chain risk management. Read More 

Dr. Arch Turner
Arch Turner, Ph.D

Consultant

Arch Turner is a retired career Naval Aviator. While on active duty he piloted carrier-based fighter/attack aircraft over a period of fourteen years and served in a variety of aviation related technical positions. Following Navy retirement Arch worked in the defense and U.S. National Security domain. He completed a fifty year full-time professional career as Operations Analysis Chief and Technical Director in the Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate.  Read More 

Registration

The "Invoice Me" option can only be used for the registration fee. This option won't appear if you have social tickets, CEU courses or tutorials in your cart. If you need assistance registering please contact Ms. Sarah Madonia, sarah.madonia@mors.org.

Employer Member Non-Member
MORS Government Sponsor*  $2,700  $2,800
U.S. Federal Government  $2,800  $2,900
National Research Partner
(IDA Employees Only)
 $2,755  $2,850
 All Others  $2,900  $3,000

*Government Sponsor organizations include: Center for Army Analysis, HQDA/DCS Program G-8; Marine Corps Combat Development and Integration; Naval Operations, N81; Secretariat of the Air Force, Studies and Analysis SAF/SA; OSD, A&S; and DHS S&T/OSE/ORA