2020 Modeling Complex Warfare Workshop

Modeling Complex Warfare Workshop

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Overview

The health and well being of our participants is our first and foremost priority. After careful review by the Workshop planning team and MORS leadership, the Modeling Complex Warfare Workshop will be held virtually on 24 March from 0800 – 1800 EDT. Registration for this workshop is free to everyone. The workshop will start with the Prologue to Warfare in a Cyber World Tutorial followed by various keynote speakers.

Objectives:

  • Finding Reliable and Robust M&S methods to support Multi-Domain Operations or MDO
  • Discussing quantitative ways to explore the strategic space at a level of conventional warfare that is just below the threshold of conflict
  • Discovering a way to model how the “information advantage” now works “to integrate information operations, Cyber, Space, and EMS, as they are employed pre, during, and after conflict” (or to avoid/deter conflict altogether)

At this point of departure from traditional models, MORS can elevate new model outcome ideals and sketch critical paths forward for force structure ideals and modeling requirements therein.

One such point of departure comes from a FVEY refocus away from traditional weapons system tradespace towards looking for a new force design:

A revolution in defense Operations Research to better handle the interaction of complex geopolitical, social, technological, economic and cultural factors for employment of the current force and design of the future force. It represents a shift in problem choice rather than a search for better solutions to known problems. Force design is decision making about future operational capability components and interactions under conditions of high uncertainty. The MCW SRI aims to address the force design and employment problems simultaneously at two levels: firstly, by both drawing from the growing science of complexity and uncertainty and forwarding this research across traditional fields of study, to shape the development of a better overall solution to the force design problem as a whole; and secondly, by developing new methods for Operations Research to support force design and employment decision-making under conditions of uncertainty.

Agenda

Agenda as of 23 March 2020.

Plan to attend the tutorial covering "Prologue to Warfare in a Cyber World."

Dr. Dean S. Hartley III, will lead participants through a unique tutorial at 0900 AM on 24 March at the MORS Modeling Complex Warfare Workshop. Previously a Senior Member of the Research Staff at the Department of Energy Oak Ridge Facilities, he received his Ph.D. in piecewise linear topology from the University of Georgia in 1973. Dr. Hartley is the author of Predicting Combat Effects, Unconventional Conflict: A Modeling Perspective, and An Ontology for Unconventional Conflict.

Tutorial Highlights:

  • The Noosphere: the Total Information Available to Humanity
  • Humans: the Target (and the Attacker)
  • Selected Sciences & Technologies: CAS, AI, Networks, Quantum
  • The Adversarial Environment
  • Ramifications of S&T

Registration

Online Workshop Member Non-Member
U.S. Federal Government
MORS Sponsor
$0 $0
U.S. Federal Government $0 $0
National Research Partner
(IDA Employees Only)
$0 $0
All Others $0 $0