Campaign Analysis Workshop

Campaign Analysis Workshop, 28 February to 3 March 2022, Institute for Defense Analyses

The safety of our participants is our priority, and we are closely monitoring the coronavirus (COVID-19). We will update this page to announce any necessary adjustments to the workshop. Should you have any questions, please contact Liz Marriott at liz.marriott@mors.org.

Campaign Analysis Workshop
Monday-Thursday, 25-28 April 2022
TBD

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Overview

This Workshop will be held at the SECRET/NOFORN level.

Motivation: With the rise of peer competition, campaign analysis has taken a central focus in analyses across the government, industry, and research laboratories. The defense community is increasingly using campaign analyses to examine force structure, concepts / doctrine, and operational planning questions. The community is entering into a new era of campaign analyses that leverage federated simulation environments, volumes of data, and increased operational complexities. As a result, new and old issues have surfaced that has necessitated a community-wide review of the purpose, processes, and tools required to conduct campaign analyses.

Objective: To assist the campaign analysis community advance the state of the art by fostering discussion and collaboration across the community to jointly address the challenges we face in this new era of campaign analysis. These challenges include:

1.Maintaining and building a trained workforce in the application of best tools, analyses, and practices

2.Developing and maintaining collaboration between organizations (e.g. US Gov stakeholders, research labs, think tanks, industry, and allies)

3.Credibly incorporating new or non-integrated effects into campaign analysis (e.g. logistics, SOF, cyber, information warfare, JADC2, ISR, BMC2, space, other non-kinetic effects)

4.Learning from past successes and failures while preserving and building on the progress of successive workshops and community advancements

5.Defining the characteristics for the next generation of campaign analysis and providing suggestions to achieve stated goals

Structure: Each participant will work with a working group for this workshop. These working groups are designed to be a balance between presentations and discussion to enable its participants to make progress towards the problems that face our community. At the end of the workshop, each working group will provide a summary of what was learned, identified challenges, and identified solutions.

Agenda at-a-Glance

Monday, 25 April

0800 - 1700      Tutorials

 

Tuesday, 26 April

0800 - 0900      Welcome & MORS Presidents Welcome
Dr. Andrew Turner & Mr. Jaime Bestard, Workshop Chair
Mr. David Saranchak, MORS President

0900 - 0930      2019 Campaign Analysis Workshop Review

1000 - 1130      Service Panel

1130 - 1230      Lunch

1230 - 1400      Session 1

1400 - 1530      Session 2

1530 - 1700      Session 3

1800                 Social

 

Wednesday, 27 April

0800 - 0810      Welcome
Dr. Andrew Turner & Mr. Jaime Bestard, Workshop Chair

0810 - 0900      Trends in Campaign Analysis Panel

0900 - 1030      Session 4

1030 - 1200      Session 5

1200 - 1230      Lunch

1230 - 1400      Gray Zone Panel

1400 - 1530      Session 6

1530 - 1700      Session 7

 

Thursday, 28 April

0800 - 0810      Welcome
Dr. Andrew Turner & Mr. Jaime Bestard, Workshop Chair

0810 - 1200      Working Group Review, Discussion & Writeup

1200 - 1230      Lunch

1230 - 1645      Working Group Outbriefs

1645 - 1700      Closing Remarks

Tutorials

JFOS - Capt. Gerald P Lorio

Abstract: As circumstances change and new threats emerge, the Department of Defense is required to evaluate and refine capability development, force sizing, emerging warfighting concepts, and innovative approaches to these new environments.  What began in 2019 as the 2030 Joint Force Operating Scenario (JFOS) has since become a recurring process run by the Services to develop a Concept of Operations (CONOPS) paired with a given scenario influenced by Defense Planning Scenarios (DPS).  These provide the level of detail and context needed to conduct wargaming, modeling and simulation, and other analysis to inform senior military leaders, Program Objective Memorandums (POMs), force structure decisions, concept development, and follow-on studies.  To create a JFOS, the Joint Working Group (JWG), consisting of planners and analysts from the six Services, intelligence community, and several supporting commands and organizations, takes existing scenarios and CONOPS, updated threat information, and future capabilities and capacities and leverages them to develop a robust scenario and associated CONOPS set in a future time frame.  The JFOS development process is guided along the way by a panel of two-star Flag and General Officers and SES equivalents representing all Services and supporting organizations.  The scenario and CONOPS are approved at the various stages of development by a separate three-star level committee with a voting member representing each Service.

The JFOS process is now in its third iteration.  It has continued to gain support among the various Service analytical organizations and myriad other stakeholders.  The completed JFOS products have been used as the basis for analysis across the DoD including: the Chairman’s Global Integrated Wargame 21, inter-Service collaborative simulation databases, Service specific wargames and analysis, mission level modelling, and campaign modeling excursions. 

CFAM - Kirk Yost
JICM - Mr. Kyle Rogers
BEAM - Dr. Stephen Sturgeon

Abstract: Campaign analysis has been criticized for being slow, rigid in strategy, and restricted to a small set of experts to access. We are not proposing that all of these criticisms will go away with the introduction of BEAM, but these criticisms are some of the motivations for BEAM. What if campaign analysis could give an answer faster at a lower resolution? What if the interaction between the true SME’s who need to inform the scenario and the analysts who are building it could be sped up? What if strategy changes could be explored quickly? What if campaign analysis could be used across a broader spectrum of analysis, instead of in specialized shops? BEAM provides an opportunity to break the paradigm of how campaign analysis has been used across the analytic landscape.

During this tutorial we will illustrate BEAM in a live demonstration. We will walk through the tool showing the level of aggregation (high) that allows for this kind of broad but flexible analysis. We will demonstrate how to add regions and assets, define strategy, and explore results. We will show how to perform analysis with BEAM and what kind of insights one would hope to derive. We will discuss what kinds of problems BEAM is best suited to address and which ones it is not. Finally, we will discuss where we are in the process of BEAM development and which features are planned for future versions.

COSAGE - Major Brian Laborde and Mr. Steve McCarty

Working Groups

Classified Session

If you plan to attend the classified sessions, please submit your clearance as soon as possible:

Purpose - Campaign Analysis Workshop: Monday-Thursday, 25 - 28 April 2022
Level: SECRET
SMO Code: 6A286
Technical POC: Jennifer Ferat
703-933.9074

Location

TBD

Registration

The "Invoice Me" option can only be used for the registration fee. This option won't appear if you have social tickets, CEU courses or tutorials in your cart. If you need assistance registering please contact Ms. Sarah Madonia, sarah.madonia@mors.org.

Employer   Early
Ends 3/11/22
Regular
Starts 3/12/22
Ends 4/8/22
Late
Starts 4/9/22
MORS Government Sponsor*
Includes Optional Tutorial
Member $450 $500 $550
MORS Government Sponsor*
Includes Optional Tutorial
Non-Member $550 $600 $650
U.S. Federal Government
Includes Optional Tutorial
Member $500 $550 $600
U.S. Federal Government
Includes Optional Tutorial
Non-Member $600 $650 $700
National Research Partner (IDA Only)
Includes Optional Tutorial
Member $523 $573 $623
National Research Partner (IDA Only)
Includes Optional Tutorial
Non-Member $618 $668 $718
All Others
Includes Optional Tutorial
Member $550 $600 $650
All Others
Includes Optional Tutorial
Non-Member $650 $700 $750

*Government Sponsor organizations include Center for Army Analysis, HQDA/DCS Program G-8; Marine Corps Combat Development and Integration; Naval Operations, N81; Studies, Air Force Studies, Analyses, and Assessments, HQ AF/A9; OSD, A&S; and DHS S&T/OSE/ORA

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