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76th MORSS

United States Coast Guard Academy
10-12 June 2008

Composite Group F
Advances in Military OR

WG 29, WG 30, WG 31, WG 32, WG 33

WG 29: Modeling, Simulation, and Wargaming

CHAIR: Mr. Jeff Tkacheff, Marine Corps Operations Analysis Division, 703-784-0429, FAX 703-784-3547, jeffrey.tkacheff@usmc.mil

CO-CHAIRS: Mr. Adam Martin, Marine Corps Operations Analysis Division, 703-432-8018, adam.martin@usmc.mil; Mr. Ted Roofner, Marine Corps Operations Analysis Division, 703-784-0435, ted.roofner@usmc.mil; Ms. Deborah Ray, US Army Manpower Analysis Agency, 703-805-4235, deborah.ray@us.army.mil; Mr. Richard Rigazio, Navy Warfare Development Command, 401-841-3104, rigazior@nwdc.navy.mil; Mr. Curtis Blaise, Naval Postgraduate School, 831-656-3215, clblais@nps.navy.mil; and, Mr. Danny Champion, TRAC WSMR, 505-678-2763, danny.c.champion@us.army.mil

ADVISOR: Mr. Daniel F. Purcell, Sr., Marine Corps Operations Analysis Division, 703-784-0433, Daniel.Purcell@usmc.mil

Modeling, Simulation, and Wargaming encompass a broad range of techniques commonly employed by the military operations research community, thus WG-29 embodies this year’s theme “Expanding Analysis for a More Secure World.” WG-29 presentations should highlight the application of the various disciplines that come into play such as: computer programming in building simulations, statistical analysis in analyzing the output data, and subject matter expertise in assessing the degree of realism. Special emphasis should be placed on recent work that provides quantitative results to decision-makers and work that demonstrates the use of innovative techniques to tackle today’s tough problems that GWOT and Homeland Security represent. Our goal is to present a diverse mix of interesting analyses that cover a variety of operational issues and analytic techniques across the full spectrum of modeling, simulation and wargaming. We seek papers that discuss the application of sound OR techniques from the joint strategic level down to system engineering level issues.

WG 30: Operational Environment – Factors, Interactions, and Impacts

CHAIR: Dr. Donna W. Blake, VisiTech, 703-535-6640, ext. 234, blake@visitech.com

CO-CHAIRS: James F. Burke, Jr., ANL, 630-252-9009, jay@anl.gov; Dr. John R. Hummel, ANL, 630-252-7089, jhummel@anl.gov; Victoria D. Moore, ERDC, 601-634-4636, victoria.d.moore@erdc.usace.army.mil; Col C. Reid Nichols, USMC Reserve, MIRC, 410-465-8587 , rnichols@ccs.nrl.navy.mil; Dr. Joyce A. Nagle, ERDC, 603-646-4161, Joyce.A.Nagle@erdc.usace.army.mil; Stephen Quigley, AFRL/RVBXR , 781-377-9666 , Stephen.Quigley@hanscom.af.mil; Dr. Carrie Root, Consultant NAVAIR PMA-205/264, 202-841-8841, carriek9@aol.com; and, Dr. Richard Shirkey, ARL, 505-678-5470, rshirkey@arl.army.mil

ADVISOR: Dr. Niki C. Goerger, USMA/ERDC, 845-938-3180, Niki.Goerger@usma.edu

Working Group 30: Operational Environment – Factors, Interactions and Impacts provides a forum for discussions of the environment’s role in the full spectrum of military operations from warfighting to non-adversarial crisis response (e.g., peacekeeping and humanitarian relief). The operational environment includes factors that are natural (atmosphere, ocean, space and terrain), human-constructed (physical infrastructure), and abstract (political, social, cultural, and economic). The focus of this WG is the synergistic interactions of these factors as they impact military operations, including systems and the warfighter. The broad scope of our interests includes quantitative assessments of the impact of the environment on military operations; the technology of environmental sensing, data fusion, and exploitation; and concepts for the architecture and operation of environmental support of the warfighter.

The Operational Environment, natural, human-constructed, and abstract, has always played a critical role in military operations, both in planning and execution. As we enter the 21 st Century, military system development and testing, personnel training, and planning and analysis will rely more on simulated exercises in realistic, synthetic environments. Similarly, the depiction of the operational environment is becoming an aspect of Dominant Battlespace Awareness (DBA). This Dominant (Environmental) Battlespace Awareness will require new paradigms for data collection, processing and distribution of information, and exploitation in real time for tactical advantage.

In keeping with Joint Vision 2020, the persistence of the asymmetric threat, and this year’s conference theme, “ Expanding Analysis for a More Secure World”, this WG solicits thought-provoking presentations of studies, research and development, and experiments, including interesting and innovative techniques, dealing with less traditional military operations (e.g., non-conventional warfighting, peacekeeping, humanitarian relief), homeland security and defense, counterterrorism, emergency management, and disaster relief.

This WG invites you to submit studies relevant to the operational environment topics described above, particularly as they relate to security. Authors are encouraged to submit abstracts (Unclassified only) by email and to contact the WG 30 leadership as indicated above.

WG 31: Computing Advances in Military Operations Research

CHAIR: Otis Brooks, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, (240) 228-5842 (Washington), (443) 778-5842 (Baltimore), Fax: (240) 228-5229/ (443) 778-5229, otis.brooks@jhuapl.edu

CO-CHAIRS: Curtis Blais, Naval Postgraduate School, (831) 656-3215, clblais@nps.edu; Jeffery Dixon, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, (240) 228-3153 (Washington), (443) 778-3153 (Baltimore), jeffery.dixon@jhuapl.edu; and, Lt Col William David Wells, PhD, CMSP, United States Air Force Academy, (719) 333-8631, DSN 333-8631, david.wells@usafa.edu

ADVISOR: Robert L. Albright, National Simulations Center, Fort Leavenworth, (913) 684-8496, DSN 552-8496, robert.albright@us.army.mil

This year's theme for the 76th Military Operations Research Society Symposium (MORSS), “Expanding Analysis for a More Secure World,” will provide the opportunity to revisit potential analytical and operational uses of existing and emerging computer hardware/software technologies and computational methodologies that support the expanded needs and endeavors of Operations Research. MORSS Working Group 31 (WG 31), Computing Advances in Military Operations Research, remains focused on new and innovative computational capabilities and methodologies that can improve the ability of military analysts to provide expanded assessments and recommendations to decision makers. This working group seeks to focus on the computing infrastructure, capturing enhanced development and utilization of techniques and innovative thinking, which will equip decision makers with new ways to handle the myriad complex decisions confronting them on a daily basis. To that end, WG 31 is looking for papers and presentations that delve into advances, concepts, methodologies, and techniques that support analysis of the multitude of issues facing the US military across its mission set.

WG 31 desires to understand computing advances that address these and other modern day issues, integrate past and current tools from multiple disciplines, and provide a glimpse into the visionary thinking to impart analytical recommendations to current and future issues. The following are some examples (not all inclusive): computing advances which support the Global Information Grid (GIG) in an operational sense; new or improved analytical tools and novel approaches to new problems; advances in distributed interactive simulations, federations, and architectures; federation middleware; optimal model fidelity in federations; parallel computing including parallel algorithms, programming methods, and taxonomies that enables parallel computing systems; databases and their manipulation; modeling of terrain, weather, and other environmental effects pertinent to simulations; data fusion; graphical user interfaces, iconic languages and related human-machine interface issues; modeling advancements in areas such as virtual reality processes and systems; and artificial intelligence/expert systems techniques as they pertain to Military Operations Research.

WG 31 seeks to benefit the following applications with insights gained from computing advances (not all inclusive): modeling and analysis of counter-insurgency related operations, including information warfare; combat survivability analysis; modeling, simulation, and analysis of C4 systems; modeling stability, security, transition and reconstruction operations; consequence management and humanitarian assistance/disaster relief; course of action analysis, especially considering effects on non-combatants; mission area analysis; mission needs analysis; embedded training (transition from mission planning and rehearsal tools to real C4 linkages); management and analysis of large datasets; stochastic search and optimization; and system identification. WG 31 is interested in concepts under development and research as well as proven applications and techniques utilized in emerging areas of interest. We seek presentations which address successes across the Range of Military Operations (ROMO).

WG 32: Warfighter Performance and Social Science Methods

CHAIR: Darryl Easler, Lockheed Martin Simulation, Training & Support, (407) 306-3368, darryl.l.easler@lmco.com

CO-CHAIRS: Ken Comer, George Mason University, (703) 614-0262, kcomer@gmu.edu; Rafael E. Matos, WBB Consulting, (703) 448-6081 x108, rmatos@wbbinc.com; and, Yuna Wong, OSD (PA&E), (703) 699-718, yuna.wong.ctr@osd.mil

ADVISOR: Michael J. Statkus, U.S. Army Natick Soldier Center, (508) 233-5076, Michael.Statkus@natick.army.mil

Now more than ever the Department of Defense, in partnership with industry and academia, must cultivate researchers that bring innovative solutions to the analytic table. Only through a multi-discipline approach, along with an expanded tool set, can researchers attempt to meet the complex challenges that our armed services face every day. The 76th MORS Symposium theme, Expanding Analysis for a More Secure World, reinforces this concept. Our adversaries are practicing asymmetric warfare, our troops are fighting door-to-door one moment then conducting peacekeeping operations the next, and our counterterrorism tactics are constantly shifting to meet evolving threats. Working Group 32 invites operations research analysts, behavioral scientists, and social scientists from DoD, academia, and industry to present empirical findings and discuss exploratory methods that support the MORSS theme. Working Group 32 places particular emphasis on novel qualitative and quantitative analytic methods that strive to explain warfighter behavior. Additionally, Working Group 32 will continue to build on previous symposia by addressing recurrent issues best answered through social science methods. Therefore, current and evolving behavioral, cognitive, social, economic, or multi-cultural topics within the military environment are welcome. Warfighter performance refers to tasks that are executed during combat and stability and support operations. Social science methods refer to the research tools and methods, including quantitative and qualitative methods, used to examine and analyze both aggregate and individual behaviors. Social Science Methods also refers to how sociology, economics, anthropology, psychology, politics, and demography influence the policy and doctrine of our armed services.

Traditionally, military operations research has utilized conventional operations research techniques, wherein the system being analyzed is under control and results can be determined precisely. However, because the most important part of any system is the human operator, it is crucial that today’s analysts incorporate human factors and human performance variability into their analyses. On the modern battlefield, warfighters must perform the primary tasks of movement, target acquisition and engagement, and communication. Additionally, they must sense a constellation of cues in their combat environment, perceive the tactical relevance of these combat cues as they pertain to their particular situation, and then make sound decisions to ensure mission success. However, there is no doubt that many cognitive factors and psychological influences such as leadership, morale, esprit de corps, and “the fog of war” will have a profound effect on the performance of these individuals and combat units. Representing and incorporating these factors adequately into models, simulations, and studies are sizeable challenges. Because of the extreme variability of the warfighter’s performance and behavior on the modern battlefield, social science investigators may not be able to perform standard parametric or non-parametric analyses of the available data and must develop new tools to assist them. This working group examines these innovative methods and their application to military analyses.

Working Group 32 encourages you to submit presentations and papers relevant to the areas outlined below. The submission may be finished work, work in progress, or ideas and concepts. Please send your abstract directly to the WG-32 leadership listed above via e-mail or through the MORS online abstract submission process. Note that all presentations and discussions must be kept at the Secret level or lower.

  • Activities and analyses that examine Warfighter performance, individual and group behavior, or our armed services’ policy and doctrine through the lenses of operations research, social, and behavioral sciences;
  • Real-world applications of social science analysis tools or techniques;
  • Multidisciplinary approaches to defining and understanding individual and small unit combat performance;
  • Studies using tools applied to any of the social and behavioral elements that affect warfighter performance;
  • Symposia, games, experiments, or programs in development that involve Warfighter performance and Social Science methodologies, emphasizing the influence of social and behavioral elements to legacy analytical methods.

We look forward to hearing from you!

WG 33: Analytical Rigor in Experimentation

CHAIR: Steve Notarnicola, Lockheed Martin Ctr for Innovation, 757-935-9503, steve.notarnicola@lmco.com

CO-CHAIRS: Scott Hamilton, AFC2ISRC/AFEO, 757-225-2107, scott.hamilton.ctr@langley.af.mil; and, Kemp Littlefield, Lockheed Martin, 757-935-9507, kemp.littlefield@lmco.com

ADVISOR: Chris Herstrom, Lockheed Martin, 757-935-9502, chris.herstrom@lmco.com

The purpose of the Analytical Rigor in Experimentation Working Group is to provide an opportunity for military and civilian operations research analysts to examine topics, methodologies, analyses, and innovations pertinent to all aspects of designing, executing, and reporting of Experimentation in the Department of Defense (DOD) and other government departments and agencies such as the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). The experimentation process provides an ideal opportunity to examine the risks inherent in military and government operations in both the uncertain present and future temporal domains. The theme for this year's Symposium is Expanding Analysis for a More Secure World.  During the 76th MORSS, Working Group 33 will place a particular emphasis on rigor in analytical processes and recent experimentation efforts that address analytical rigor in the military and government environment and continue to explore recurrent experimentation analysis issues. All topics that affect Experimentation Analyses, Processes and Methodologies, to include M&S support to experimentation are welcome. Additionally, the Analytical Rigor in Experimentation Working Groups is the sponsor for the new MORS Experimentation Community of Practice (COP), a group that continues to discuss experimentation issues and looks for synergy and consistency across government, industry and academia. Please join us at the 76th MORS Symposium.

Composite Group AComposite Group BComposite Group CComposite Group D

Composite Group EComposite Group FDistributed Working Group 1

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